I’ve been writing
about Donald Trump’s claim that Mexico’s value-added tax is an unfair
trade policy, which is just really bad economics. Here’s Joel Slemrod
explaining that a VAT has the same effects as a sales tax. Now, nobody
thinks that sales taxes are an unfair trade practice. New York has
fairly high sales taxes; Delaware has no such tax. Does anyone think
that this gives New York an unfair advantage in interstate competition?
But it turns out that
Trump wasn’t saying ignorant things off the top of his head: he was
saying ignorant things fed to him by his incompetent economic advisers.
Here’s the campaign white paper on economics. The VAT discussion is on pages 12-13 — and it’s utterly uninformed.
And it’s not the worst thing: there’s lots of terrible stuff in the white paper, at every level.
Should we be reassured
that Trump wasn’t actually winging it here, just taking really bad
advice? Not at all. This says that if he somehow becomes president, and
decides to take the job seriously, it won’t help — because his judgment
in advisers, his notion of who constitutes an expert, is as bad as his
judgment on the fly.
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