The headlines were about Facebook admitting it had sold ad space
to Russian groups trying to sway the 2016 presidential campaign. But
investigators shrugged: they’d known or assumed for months that
Facebook, as well as Twitter and other social-media platforms, were a
tool used in the Kremlin’s campaign. “The only thing that’s surprising
is that more revelations like this haven’t come out sooner,” said
Congressman Mike Quigley, an Illinois Democrat and a member of the House Intelligence Committee. “And I expect that more will.”
Mapping the full Russian propaganda effort is important. Yet investigators in the House, Senate, and special counsel Robert Mueller’s
office are equally focused on a more explosive question: did any
Americans help target the memes and fake news to crucial swing districts
and wavering voter demographics? “By Americans, you mean, like, the
Trump campaign?” a source close to one of the investigations said with a
dark laugh. Indeed: probers are intrigued by the role of Jared Kushner,
the now-president’s son-in-law, who eagerly took credit for crafting
the Trump campaign’s online efforts in a rare interview right after the
2016 election. “I called somebody who works for one of the technology
companies that I work with, and I had them give me a tutorial on how to
use Facebook micro-targeting,” Kushner told Steven Bertoni of Forbes.
“We brought in Cambridge Analytica. I called some of my friends from
Silicon Valley who were some of the best digital marketers in the world.
And I asked them how to scale this stuff . . . We basically had to
build a $400 million operation with 1,500 people operating in 50 states,
in five months to then be taken apart. We started really from scratch.”
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Kushner’s chat with Forbes has provided a veritable bakery’s worth of investigatory bread crumbs to follow. Brad Parscale,
who Kushner hired to run the campaign’s San Antonio-based Internet
operation, has agreed to be interviewed by the House Intelligence
Committee.
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Bigger
questions, however, revolve around Cambridge Analytica. It is unclear
how Kushner first became aware of the data-mining firm, but one of its
major investors is billionaire Trump backer Robert Mercer. Mercer was also a principal patron of Breitbart News and Steve Bannon,
who was a vice president of Cambridge Analytica until he joined the
Trump campaign. “I think the Russians had help,” said Congresswoman Jackie Speier,
a California Democrat who is a member of the House Intelligence
Committee. “I’ve always wondered if Cambridge Analytica was part of
that.” (Cambridge Analytica did not respond to a request for comment.)
Senator Martin Heinrich
is leading the charge to update American election laws so that the
origins of political ads on social media are at least as transparent as
those on TV and in print. Heinrich, a New Mexico Democrat, is also part
of the Senate Intelligence Committee that is tracing Russia’s 2016
tactics. “Paul Manafort made an awful lot of money
coming up with a game plan for how Russian interests could be pushed in
Western countries and Western elections,” Heinrich said, referring to a
mid-2000s proposal Manafort pitched to a Russian oligarch. “Suddenly he
finds himself in the middle of this campaign. If there is a person who I
think is very sophisticated in this stuff, and runs in pretty dicey
circles, that is the place where I would dig.”
No
evidence has emerged to link Kushner, Cambridge Analytica, or Manafort
to the Russian election-meddling enterprise; all have denied colluding
with foreign agents. (Kushner’s representatives declined to comment for
this article. Manafort’s spokesman could not be reached.) Yet analysts
scoff at the notion that the Russians figured out how to target
African-Americans and women in decisive precincts in Wisconsin and
Michigan all by themselves. “Could they have hired a warehouse full of
people in Moscow and had them read Nate Silver’s blog every morning and determine what messages to post to what demographics? Sure, theoretically that’s possible,” said Mike Carpenter,
an Obama administration assistant defense secretary who specialized in
Russia and Eastern Europe. “But that’s not how they do this. And it’s
not surprising that it took Facebook this long to figure out the ad
buys. The Russians are excellent at covering their tracks. They’ll
subcontract people in Macedonia or Albania or Cyprus and pay them via
the dark Web. They always use locals to craft the campaign
appropriately. My only question about 2016 is who exactly was helping
them here.”
Maybe
no one. Or perhaps the chaotic Trump campaign unwittingly enlisted
Russian-connected proxies who were eager to exploit any opening to
damage Hillary Clinton’s run. It’s also plausible that
Trump’s long-shot, anti-establishment bid was willing to take on
assistance without asking too many questions. “Are we connecting the
dots? I’m finding more dots,” said Quigley, who recently traveled to
Prague and Budapest to learn more about the history of Russian influence
campaigns. “I believe there was coordination, and I’m going to leave it
at that for now.”
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