Wednesday, October 04, 2006
Good kids
I believe that a focus on the subject matter, can be my way out of a discipline problem.
I forgot that young people try to find out how much they can get away with. Now they are finding out the limits I impose. More academic work, and less monkeying around.
Mexican archaeologists find important Aztec ruins
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Tuesday, October 03, 2006
How does the future look like?
Mathematics is a required class, that is a blessing in disguise. It is up to me to make the students feel comfortable, so far I am not satisfied.
I already taught college students and older high school students. I even tried to work with grammar school children.
The future looks worrisome from my standpoint. It is not the students, it is more us and our parents and grand-parents. It seems to me that we abused our house; the Earth. The chemical composition of the atmosphere has changed since at least ten thousand years, when human culture started.
The children, all in all, seem to be calm. I am getting nervous because of the wars and environmental catastrophes I see, I hope I am wrong.
Saturday, September 30, 2006
"State of Denial": Woodward says Bush Ignored Urgent Iraq Warning
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The Constitution of the United States of America
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Thursday, September 28, 2006
Wherever you are, there you are.
This week we studied the Real Numbers in the high school math class. These are reflections about this experience.
Real Numbers
It was not until the middle of the eighteenth century that Richard Dedekind and Georg Cantor developed the theory of Real Numbers; as Leopold Kronecker said: “God created the integers, all else is the work of man.” I tried, not very consciously, nor successfully, to communicate this work to teen agers.
I remember how excited I got when I first learned these facts more than
forty years ago. To this day I consider this to be one of the deepest thoughts of the human mind. Is space like Cantor and Dedekind envisioned it? I did not do justice to these men this week. I am struggling just to get the students to pay attention, this reminds me of that other experience in the same city. The teachers did not like the way I taught the students. Something similar happened at another high school before. I live in an abstract world that not even the children’s parents or my teacher colleagues perceive. Here I try to analyze the events of this week.
I teach in a barrio school. Some of the students are either in Junior Reserve Officer Training Corps, or they belong to gangs. I want to make my own club, with a few dedicated students in pursuit of an intense mental life.
As backdrop to my experience, I can say that I did not stay teaching
college students in Mexico because I did not publish. My thoughts have not settled on something worth communicating to other theoretical physicists.
By all measures, leaving the University of Puebla and teaching very young underprivileged persons in Illinois, is not a smart move. But us Carl Frantz writes in “The Peoples Guide to Mexico”, wherever you are, there you are.
Control of Social Behavior
Right now Mexico is in the middle of a political crisis. The people of the state of Oaxaca are going through a social confrontaion. School teachers started a strike more than three months ago, and now they want the Governor to resign. Before the presidential election the federal government did not intervene, once the election was over and the candidate from this same federal government won, there is a threat of use of force by federal troops.
It is possible that the party in power now, did not know how to control the social behavior of Mexicans since they never had the presidency of the country before, but in any case the people of Mexico are suffering one of their worse political crisis in the last thirty years. On the other hand, I see crises in other parts of the world as well. Darfur is at the brink of a genocidal event in the near future. Maybe the warming of the Earth is making people's lives unbearable, and we are starting to see a global collapse like never before.
I teach in a high school in Illinois, I feel that some of my students are restless; they are not paying attention, this can be caused by me, because I may be a bad teacher, but maybe there are other factors involved. Do they understand that basic mathematical knowledge is a key to their future lives, or do they perceive hidden messages in their immediate world that seem to offer them a better future? Maybe is just that they are young and it is my job just to get them enthusiastic about learning.
Am I loosing control of my class, is President Fox in Mexico loosing control of the state of Oaxaca, is President Bush loosing control of the world?
These are big questions; I am only trying to do something about the first one.
Tuesday, September 26, 2006
Educated Guess
Almost every week I have been receiving students from the South, of course since I teach math in Spanish, that is expected. Nevertheless I cannot stop thinking that something is happening and I don't know what it is, do you Mr. Jones?
You walk into the room
With your pencil in your hand
You see somebody naked
And you say, "Who is that man?"
You try so hard
But you don't understand
Just what you'll say
When you get home
Because something is happening here
But you don't know what it is
Do you, Mister Jones?
You raise up your head
And you ask, "Is this where it is?"
And somebody points to you and says
"It's his"
And you say, "What's mine?"
And somebody else says, "Where what is?"
And you say, "Oh my God
Am I here all alone?"
Because something is happening here
But you don't know what it is
Do you, Mister Jones?
You hand in your ticket
And you go watch the geek
Who immediately walks up to you
When he hears you speak
And says, "How does it feel
To be such a freak?"
And you say, "Impossible"
As he hands you a bone
Because something is happening here
But you don't know what it is
Do you, Mister Jones?
You have many contacts
Among the lumberjacks
To get you facts
When someone attacks your imagination
But nobody has any respect
Anyway they already expect you
To just give a check
To tax-deductible charity organizations
You've been with the professors
And they've all liked your looks
With great lawyers you have
Discussed lepers and crooks
You've been through all of
F. Scott Fitzgerald's books
You're very well read
It's well known
Because something is happening here
But you don't know what it is
Do you, Mister Jones?
Well, the sword swallower, he comes up to you
And then he kneels
He crosses himself
And then he clicks his high heels
And without further notice
He asks you how it feels
And he says, "Here is your throat back
Thanks for the loan"
Because something is happening here
But you don't know what it is
Do you, Mister Jones?
Now you see this one-eyed midget
Shouting the word "NOW"
And you say, "For what reason?"
And he says, "How?"
And you say, "What does this mean?"
And he screams back, "You're a cow
Give me some milk
Or else go home"
Because something is happening here
But you don't know what it is
Do you, Mister Jones?
Well, you walk into the room
Like a camel and then you frown
You put your eyes in your pocket
And your nose on the ground
There ought to be a law
Against you comin' around
You should be made
To wear earphones
Because something is happening here
But you don't know what it is
Do you, Mister Jones?
Copyright © 1965; renewed 1993 Special Rider Music
Political Warming
Antimatter discovery could launch new era of physics
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Earth nearing warmest point in a million years, may see rougher El NiƱos
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Global Warming Near Critical Level
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Monday, September 25, 2006
Video: Noam Chomsky - America Is NOT A Democracy
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Sunday, September 24, 2006
Election Security Update for Mexico and the USA
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Canada set to apologise to man wrongly deported
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Politics and Science
ChƔvez and Palast
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Saturday, September 23, 2006
Chomsky and Mathematics
These options are not exclusive, but I pose that without a strong mind they are more likely to join destructive organizations.
Putting his Math Where His Mouth Is
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ChƔvez and Chomsky

The president of Venezuela broke diplomatic rules and advertised a book in front of the whole world. Noam Chomsky recently wrote a book, “Hegemony or Survival: America’s Quest for Global Dominance”. In this book professor Chomsky takes a critical look at the current unipolar state of the world political landscape. The American worldview is criticised from within, in the US there is a widespread assumption that this country cannot do harm, that it is a force for progress, but Chomsky thinks that in many cases US foreign policy only has served the purposes of an elite governing the United States of America. The members of this elite have their own agenda in Iraq, like they had it previuosly in Vietnam. That agenda is not the same, by a substantial amount, like the Vitnamese agenda then or the Iraqi agenda now.
Science allows us to make an objective worldview of reality, and Dr. Chomsky shows in this book that the statement that American Hegemony is good for the world, is not an objective statement; American Hegemony is good for the United States of America.
Tuesday, September 19, 2006
Change Students Minds
Obviously I prefer positive reinforcements as opposed to punishments. I remember a professor in college that was doing research. In Mexico that very fact, doing research, was an inspiration to me, I did not have other role models doing that. That changed my mind.
I want to change the minds of a few students so they see more options in their future. I believe I can change the minds of a fraction of my students, maybe 10%.
Sunday, September 17, 2006
The Revenge of Gaia
Very hot days are coming to us during this century and we may die in the midst of civilization's collapse just like it is already happening in Darfur.
Two Presidents in Mexico (Los Angeles Times story)
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Two Presidents in Mexico

The Democratic National Convention elected Andrés Manuel López Obrador (AMLO) as the new president of Mexico yesterday. More than a million registered Mexicans in the Convention, decided in Mexico City's Zócalo to be represented by AMLO instead of Felipe de Jesús Calderón Hinojosa, from the National Action Party (PAN). PAN officially won the presidential election last Septemeber 6th by a decision of the Electoral Tribunal; nevertheless the Convention that started yesterday does not recognize this decision.
Therefore, there are two presidents in Mexico.
This is not the first time this happens in Mexico; in the middle of the nineteenth century there were two centers of power, Emperor Maximilian of Hapsburg, and President Benito JuƔrez, a Zapotec Indian of Oaxaca. At the end, Maximilian was executed in Queretaro, Mexico; and JuƔrez was one of the best presidents Mexico has had.
In this picture you can see the new president with his three sons under the Zócalo in a subway tunnel yesterday.
Friday, September 15, 2006
High School Student Discipline
The problem that caused this sad moment for my friend is not solved with the few words written here. This is a small effort to try to make sense of human relations. All of us adults have adopted strategies to deal with the others. I remember many years ago feeling sympathy for my sister that was crying because she thought our mother was not going to like what she did. I told her that I was going to blame myself so she would stop crying.
That was not a right or a wrong solution but I learned how to relate to others. Many experiences like that, with good and bad consequences made me the adult I am. High school students have not had as many years to try solutions to the problems due to their relations with the others.
There is something adults can show young ones about how to go about our lives the best we can. I am afraid many times I do not feel I have done the best for the students on my charge.
Thursday, September 14, 2006
Writing on Stone May Be Oldest in the Americas

A stone slab found in the state of Veracruz in Mexico bears 3,000-year-old writing previously unknown to scholars, according to archaeologists who say it is an example of the oldest script ever discovered in the Western Hemisphere.
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Monday, September 11, 2006
Thoughts
Andrés Manuel López Obrador asked his supporters to let the Mexican Army go through the streets of Mexico City as every year, and called for the beginning of the Democratic National Convention when the parade is over.
I do not know if the supporters are coming back with their tents after the army marches, but it seems to me that this is really going to be a peaceful movement. For all practical purposes it seems now that just as the Republicans in 2000, and 2004; in 2006 PAN is going to run Mexico six more years. I do not expect Felipe Calderón to accomplish much more than Vicente Fox in these coming six years.
On the other hand the Earth keeps warming up, Siberia snow is disappearing and it seems that in a hundred years or so, more people are going to move near the North Pole, because methane gas is being released to the atmosphere once this snow goes.
The price of gasoline is going down now that the summer driving season is coming to an end. The American middle class is going through hard times, some jobs they used to have are not available any more, the members of the middle class seem to want to limit immigration, but on the other hand people from warm climates are feeling the heat and moving north.
Interesting times are coming.
Sunday, September 10, 2006
Antonio Gershenson
Many years ago I met Antonio Gershenson, by now he may not remember me, he is a clear thinking mexican physicist. The mexican government has this description of him.
"Ficha 145: Antonio Gershenson Tafelov.Responsable de atentados dinamiteros en el Distrito Federal, durante el aƱo de 1967, en que coloca y hace detonar varios artefactos explosivos,entre ellos el de la estatua del licenciado Miguel AlemĆ”n ValdĆ©s en Ciudad Universitaria y un artefacto colocado en la Embajada de Colombia, que explota en el Laboratorio de la DIGEPOT, actualmente trabaja como fĆsico nuclear y sus actividades son checadas esporĆ”dicamente."
He was a leader of the student movement in the sixties, and later of the nuclear energy workers' union movement, SUTIN (Union of Nuclear Industry Workers); now he is a journalist in the Mexican newspaper "La Jornada".
Unfortunately the legally elected president, Felipe Calderón, does not have a tradition of interest and knowledge about nuclear energy. I do not expect his government to advance the state of the Mexican nuclear industry. I do not expect his future government to ask Mr. Gershenson about the future of electrical energy in Mexico.
Today he published in La Jornada that the electoral tribunal started a new precedent, now it is possible to have irregularities in the ballot boxes and the tribunal will accept the results. Given this sad decision of the tribunal, the Mexican National Democratic Convention about to start next week in the Mexico City Zócalo, has to plan for a long process of democratic change in Mexico, according to Gershenson.
Monday, September 04, 2006
Computólogo mexicano explica los problemas con el conteo.
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Fraud in Mexican Presidential Election
with regard to the question of fraud. It is difficult to think of a legitimate reason for withholding this information."
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Sunday, September 03, 2006
Immanuel Wallerstein
Immanuel Wallerstein understands the world in terms of profiteers and oppressed. The quote above taken from Wikipedia, illustrates this view. At this very moment there is a movement in Mexico, the oppresed are saying no to the oppressor.
James Lovelock thinks in terms of the Earth as a system he calls Gaia, Wallerstein thinks of human societies and the world economy as systems also.
In this view of systems, I see Mexico as a system with feedback mechanisms that direct its evolution; it seems to me that Andrés Manuel López Obrador (AMLO) has the pulse of the Nation, and is leading a whole country in new directions, expressing the will of the oppressed.
President Vicente Fox planned a state of siege situation to stop the voice of the people, AMLO did not played that violent game and asked the representatives of his party inside the legislative chamber to stop the President from giving his State of the Nation speech. AMLO won this battle, the system is moving.
Friday, September 01, 2006
Mexican President State of the Union Document
Mexican President Cannot deliver his State of the Union Speech
You can read this story here also
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Mexican President does not Have Power
Last State of the Union in Mexico
In about half an hour Mexican President Vicente Fox will address the Mexican Nation. As a Mexican living abroad I am not impressed with his performance, every day I see more Mexicans of different social classes trying to make a living in the US. At this point I do not see how going back will I see a better place to live. I am struggling here in the US, but at least I see more potential for my personal growth and that of my family, maybe in a few years that will change, but at this point I do not see it.
I am satisfied teaching Mexican students recently arrived to the US. We say the pledge of allegiance every morning, we accept the laws of this country. I do not see a burning desire from the Mexicans I know here to go enjoy the country that Fox made.
For me this is a sad day, Fox failed us.
Sunday, August 27, 2006
Convención Nacional DemocrÔtica
http://www.cnd.org.mx
Saludos.
Present Mexican President Announces New Mexican President
This week before the electoral tribunal announces the winner, Vicente Fox Quesada, present President, announced the victory of Felipe de Jesús Calderón Hinojosa, to become the next President of Mexico; even though his announcement is not the law, it was clearly a message for the tribunal, if the tribunal heeds his announced preferences and makes it official we can expect a political backlash.
The opposition is not happy, keep tuned to find out the opposition's next steps.
Wednesday, August 23, 2006
Buchanan
I am on the side of the weaker.
Ordenadores mƔs potentes que el cerebro humano
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A third of the world population faces water scarcity today
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Tuesday, August 22, 2006
Four Are Given Highest Honor in Mathematics
Ć© conjecture - but refused to accept it. He also refused $1 million from the Clay Mathematics Institute.
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Fields Medal won by the man who solved the Poincare Conjecture
You can read the NYT article here.
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Monday, August 21, 2006
Bilingual Education
Evolving Universes
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Sunday, August 20, 2006
Frontier
It is not an accident that the peoples of America did not conquer Europe but the other way around, as one can read in Jared Diamond's "Collapse: How Societies Choose to Fail or Succeed" and "Guns, Germs, and Steel: The Fates of Human Societies", the reason is very likely the different geographies of the two regions. This part of the world where we live, North America, is more fragile than Euroasia.
The same is true for Australia. It is ironic that the two countries that will benefit more form the Kyoto Protocol, are among the four (Liechtenstein and Monaco are the other two) that refuse to ratify it. Maybe the fragility of these God forsaken lands makes us unsure of ourselves.
Math genius living in poverty

Grigory "Grisha" Perelman, the genius who won fame last week spurning a million-dollar prize after revealing his solution for Poincare's Conjecture. Is living with his mother in a humble flat in St Petersburg, co-existing on her $74-a-month pension.
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Jurisprudence and Mexican Elections
Will the court follow jurisprudence?
Friday, August 18, 2006
Blogs and Newspapers
Today I found out that this newspaper, that I read from Illinois whenever I have time, has an article that also appears in Blogger!
I went to http://circulodeescritores.blogspot.com and sure enough, the Professors from another university in Puebla keep a Blog in Spanish of their writings online.
After more than twelve years now is very easy for anybody to make their thoughts known online. These are interesting times.
Wednesday, August 16, 2006
New Mexican Constitution
This meeting is scheduled for September 16 of this year in the Constitution Plaza of Mexico City. By tradition the Mexican Army has a parade there, I do not know how are they going to resolve that conflict.
Thoughts
People Power Prof. Almond, rightly observes that if the American media defines a political event as a manifestation of "People Power", then it is, otherwise it is not. The Mexican political events of the last few days are historic, and the American media hass chosen to ignore them.Recommendation enginesEsther Dyson points out in her blog the present dilemma of too many good causes to spend our good intentions on. Which one is the right one? She offers a thoughtful answer to that question.Climate and Collapse This American Scientist article addresses the very relevant scientific problem of whether or not the Maya empire collapsed due to a drought? Our own present civilization may equally collapse like that, if you do not think that is relevant science, I have a hard problem bringing up a more important issue nowadays.
Esther Dyson Report from Foo Camp: goodness, IT and recommendation engines
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Tuesday, August 15, 2006
Guardian Unlimited 'People power' is a global brand own
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Report: Diversity growing in nearly every state.
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Bush 'helped Israeli attack on Lebanon'
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Monday, August 14, 2006
Emotions and Politics
Lopez Obrador calls for years of protest
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Sunday, August 13, 2006
September 15 in Mexico City's Zocalo
If he wins the election by Septembers 6 that is his official obligation, to be in the Zocalo to celebrate the Mexican Independence Day. The war against Spain started that day in 1810. If he loses the Mexican army will have to take his people out of the Zocalo, because the elected president, his opponent, Felipe Calderón, has to be there.
Today this looks to me as a declaration of war; Mexico could be entering into a new civil war.
My family is there, I do not want a war there. I am worried.
Saturday, August 12, 2006
Video of philosopher Dan Dennett speaking at TED Conference.
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Gates Charity Races to Spend Billions ($3 Billion Per Year)
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Friday, August 11, 2006
Now For Something Truly Bizarre
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Wednesday, August 09, 2006
The Damage in Lebanon and Beyond
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Nassan Nasrallah
It is hard for me to imagine going to my backyard to pick up a letter dropped from an airplane telling me to leave so they can bomb my house.
I am very sad.
Lieberman
I do not like Lieberman because he followed Bush to Iraq almost as much as England's Tony Blair. I will feel more secure if both Bush and Blair, stop promoting war in the Middle East, by the unwelcome presence of American and British troops over there.
I expect terrorist attacks until the day I die. Most of the history of the world is filled with terrorist attacks. Whenever there is a people with less weapons than another, they fight terrorist wars. Maybe Americans forgot that a terrorist attack to the US was carried out by Mexico's Pancho Villa, like the bin Laden of his time he hid in the mountains of Mexico and General John J. Pershing could not find him. The world did not come to an end. To end terrorism is like ending the flu, you have to learn to live with it.
The Unmaking of a Senator: How Bloggers Pulled It Off
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Monday, August 07, 2006
Full recount rejected
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Saturday, August 05, 2006
Media
Last night I was watching Charlie Rose on PBS. The Lebanese Prime Minister Faoud Siniora made a case for returning land to Lebanon. According to him that could stop the attacks on Israel, and one would assume the attacks on Lebanon as well.
Nevertheless if I read and listen to the media, all I see is more and more preparations for war, and war, with pictures in the New York Times of very likable Israeli soldiers after a long battle in Lebanon.
How am I supposed to understand?
I will say give those Shebaa farms back and stop the killing.
Here you can find the US-France proposal, they do mention the Shebaa farms, at least I understand that much, they are fighting over land.
Mexico to conduct recount hearing
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Tuesday, August 01, 2006
More than a million Israelis are in bomb shelters.
Monday, July 31, 2006
Downtown Mexico City Semi-Paralized!
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Sunday, July 30, 2006
Why do you need one million people?
Saturday, July 29, 2006
Mexico City's Zocalo
Before Christopher Columbus (Cristóbal Colón) came to America in 1492, Mexico City was called Tenochtitlan. The center of the huge Aztec empire was inside Lake Texcoco, and the center of town was the Zocalo. There were pyramids and other government buildings. This place has been important for mexican politics for more than four hundred years. Maybe only in Perú is there another plaza as old and as relevant for the human story. Tomorrow Andrés Manuel López Obrador is asking one million mexicans to protest at that historic place.
Right now his party, Partido de la Revolución DemocrÔtica (PRD), is in control of the police and the city government. I was in that plaza in 1968 protesting, and the police did not want us there; maybe americans can have an idea of what I mean if they know what happened in Lincoln Park in Chicago in the summer of 1968 during the Democratic National Convention. Then Mayor Daley from the Democratic Party did not want protests in his city.
Tomorrow a million mexicans will meet in that historic plaza to protest, but you know what, now the protesters control the police. Keep tuned.
Next Mexican President?
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Friday, July 28, 2006
Free Education with RSS
This is a good service.
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Sunday, July 23, 2006
No light in Queens?
NYT(080106)There is no date for the restoration of electricity in a famous burough of New York City. The National Guard may be called. What is going on?
Tuesday, July 18, 2006
Monday, July 17, 2006
This, is how it's done America!
According to Mexico City Police it was 1.1 million people.
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Sunday, July 16, 2006
Information Processing Bound
Prof. Hsu from the University of Oregon has recently made public a fundamental result.
This result states the deep connection between two foundational concepts of physics; Information and Size.
The rate of Information processing cannot be bigger than the size of the device times 1085.
This is a tremendously big number, but it is not infinite.
Any device, no matter how big, cannot perform more than a certain number of computer operations per second. According to Hsu's bound, the mind of the Universe only has performed 10100 operations so far.
Friday, July 14, 2006
Gaia
James Lovelock recently wrote the book
I write a few comments here.As I write I am listening the UN's debate on C-SPAN on the Israel-Lebanon War. I was born in 1949, one year later than the establishment of a new state in Palestine. Fifty seven years from then we are witnessing now the war between two semitic people, descendants of Abraham: the children of Ismael and of Isaac. When the children fight, the Earth, Gaia suffers. Our mother Gaia is sick. Lovelock does not think that she will die; but he is not so confident as to the future of the children of Abraham.
In more scientific terms the problem Lovelock's warns us about is relatively simple. The Sun is getting hot, the gases on the Earth's atmosphere are keeping more heat inside than is reflected back into space. The result is that most of us will be able to survive only moving North in the northern hemisphere, and South in the southern hemisphere.
Why should we believe Lovelock? He was the first or one of the first to recognize that the Earth-Sun system is more dynamic than previously thought. Once life starts on Earth it is unavoidable to establish feedback connections that control the temperature of the atmosphere. There is a balance between life, i.e. the biosphere, the temperature of the atmosphere and the Sun's temperature. There are indications that this balance is moving to a new point of equilibrium, that likely will make the Equator unhabitable.
We can choose to disregrad Lovelock's warning, I for one take him very seriously.
Triumph of the authoritarians
I recommend Dean's book. I see some Relevant Science in Dean's ideas. Followers of authoritarians do not ask questions. If true, that explains partly why DeLay does not explain us why he effectively took away the vote of minorities by redistrictering Texas voting places in the middle of census results. The census is every ten years, the next one is 2010, why 2006 is a moment to define the districts?
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Florida 2000, Ohio 2004, and Mexico 2006
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Tuesday, July 11, 2006
Claims of Election Fraud in Mexico: Why Mexico Deserves Better
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Mexican Presidential Election
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General Breaks Down While Speaking of Immigrant Father
General Pace, you are a man.
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Monday, July 10, 2006
Tesla: Master Of Lightning
Now Tesla is the unit of magnetic field. One Tesla is 10,000 Gauss. Both were great men, one studied small fields, the other big fields.
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Sunday, July 09, 2006
Power in Mexico II
Antonio Gershenson writes the above in today's La Jornada:
http://www.jornada.unam.mx/2006/07/09/025a2pol.php
He is a physicist and a journalist. He believes that he uncovered a program used by the electoral comission in Mexico to fix the numbers, thus helping the government's party in the presidential election last Sunday.
The irregularity consists in having several polling sites with identical number of votes for the ruling party. These sites are related, but there is no reasonable explanation of why each has to have exactly the same number of votes for one candidate. One case is an acceptable accident, but the three reported by Mr. Gershenson, seem more like fraud than accident.
The last word has not been said. Yesterday there were hundreds of thousands of people in Mexico City's main plaza. The challenger asked them to bring ten friends and relatives next Sunday. We may have over a million angry voters in the Aztec capital. Every hundred years or so there seems to be restlessness in the land of the first people of this continent. Mexico did not start in 2000 when the current president took over, and will not end in this year of 2006.
Saturday, July 08, 2006
Power in Mexico I

This graph by the Federal Elections Institute in Mexico can be analyzed.
It does not show statistical fluctuations. The challenger candidate was winning and near the end the incumbent party's candidate overtook him for a final photo finish. That is exciting in sports but unreal for statistical data.
Thursday, July 06, 2006
Power in Mexico
"El polĆtico tabasqueƱo seƱaló que no hay duda de que se manipuló el PREP, y eso lo pueden demostrar, ya que tienen todas las pruebas. En una elección cerrada, "como aparentemente se estĆ” dando, cuando hablamos de 42 millones de votos, como en el conteo rĆ”pido, nunca hubo cruces de datos y siempre el candidato del PAN estuvo arriba, lo que estadĆstica y matemĆ”ticamente es imposible"."
For those that do not read Spanish, the opposition candidate in Mexico, states that it is statistically and mathematically impossible to have a situation where one party, never more than 1 % above, is always above and never comes down.
I agree with him, even though through most of the night the opposition was less than 1 % above, at the end, the elections authority, ended up giving the race to the current government's party.
It seems that there is not going to be a winner before early Septemeber; by law the elections authority has to resolve this election by then.
Wednesday, July 05, 2006
Power
Is there any relevant science here?
Politics is relevant, that is how power is established. A president affects the lives of many people. The question is that if science is an issue in this important event of mexican life.
There are some technical issues related to the election, like the official count update stopped on monday night:
http://www.unam.mx/elecciones2006/
Today the electoral commission is counting the ballots to reach a definite conclusion.
From a technical point of view this shows that electoral processes have not used the most current technology for counting votes.
One scientific issue I can consider here is the statistical distribution of random processes, in most random events events follow the law of big numbers, leading to a bell-shaped curve. I do not have graphs for the election yet, but if there was tampering with the numbers, those curves could be one of the places where one can look for illegal intervention to modify the results.

